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Climate models predict increasing temperature variability in poor countries

Sebastian Bathiany, Vasilis Dakos, Marten Scheffer, Timothy M. Lenton

📄 Abstract

in the Sahel, India, and Southeast Asia. Mechanisms include drying soils and shifts in atmospheric structure. Outside the tropics, temperature variability is projected to decrease on average because of a reduced meridional temperature gradient and sea-ice loss. The countries that have contributed least to climate change, and are most vulnerable to extreme events, are projected to experience the strongest increase in variability. These changes would therefore amplify the inequality associated with the impacts of a changing climate.

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